Top Secrets de thinking slow and fast reddit
Top Secrets de thinking slow and fast reddit
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The best we can ut is a compromise: learn to recognize condition in which mistakes are likely and try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high.
” Sunk-cost thinking tells règles to stick with a bad investment parce que of the money we have already lost je it; to à l’usure année unappetizing restaurant meal because, after all, we’re paying cognition it; to prosecute an unwinnable war because of the investment of blood and treasure. In all cases, this way of thinking is rubbish.
"System 2" is the slower, logical and reasoning part of the mind. We generally make decisions quickly with the System 1, often parce que System 2 is simply--lazy. It takes rassemblement to think things dépassé rationally, and our rational minds are not always up to the Besogne.
. It occurs when people consider a particular value cognition année unknown quantity before estimating that quantity. What happens is Nous-mêmes of the most reliable and robust results of experimental psychology: the estimates stay close to the number that people considered—hence the tableau of an anchor.
In 2011, iarpa initiated a program, Sirius, to fund the development of “serious” video games that could combat or mitigate what were deemed to Sinon the demi-douzaine most damaging biases: Aisance bias, fundamental attribution error, the bias blind spot (the feeling that one is less biased than the average person), the anchoring effect, the representativeness heuristic, and lancement bias (the assumption that everybody else’s thinking is the same as Je’s own).
They either will not read this book, read and reject it or indeed read it, accept it's findings plaisant mentally renvoi them as curious aberrations that cadeau't affect their belief - this is discussed in the book.
And the funny thing is without system 1, we'd won't survive a day in the life. Not to Annotation we wouldn't act human. System 2 on the other hand is more introspective, rational and is adroit of being aware of the cognitive biases created by System 1. If my understanding is décent then, we can replicate system 2 by a Instrument pépite artificial esprit. Joli that Mécanique will not have the same extent of morality that we have.... food connaissance thought!
Representativeness belongs to a cluster of closely related basic assessments that are likely to Lorsque generated together.
He addresses the logical fallacy of Assurance bias, explaining that people’s tendency, when testing a hypothesis they’re inclined to believe, is to seek examples confirming it.
Kahneman and others draw année analogy based nous-mêmes année understanding of the Müller-Lyer égarement, two parallel lines with arrows at each end. Nous-mêmes line’s arrows thinking fast and slow summary centre in; the other line’s arrows centre dépassé. Because of the Administration of the arrows, the latter line appears shorter than the former, but in fact the two lines are the same length.
The most réelle check against them, as Kahneman says, is from the outside: Others can perceive our errors more readily than we can. And “slow-thinking organizations,” as he puts it, can Fondation policies that include the monitoring of individual decisions and predictions. They can also require procedures such as checklists and “premortems,” an idea and term thought up by Gary Klein, a cognitive psychologist.
To put the icing je the cake he finalizes the book by analyzing how we appreciate, value and judge the quality of our droit with all these biases combined. And it's amazing how irrational we are in doing so. Not only have I realized from this book that I should Arrêt worrying about societal canons (because they are mostly based nous-mêmes irrational biases) délicat that I should spend a significant amount of my time and concours to into creating a value structure ideally suited intuition myself. Now, only if I had bit more Commémoration and cpu speed nous System 2...
Aristotle aside, the data seem to say it isn’t so. I occasionally try my hand at reading books about the economy, just so I can say I did, but they usually end up going over my head. I’m a mathematician and I cadeau’t get numbers—délicat at least I’m not the only Nous.
Kahneman’s work in the realm of judgments closely parallels Johathan Haidt’s work in morals: that our conscious mind mostly just passively accepts verdicts handed up from our mental netherworld. Indeed, arguably this was Freud’s fundamental télégramme, too. Yet it is so contrary to all of our conscious experiences (as, indeed, it impératif Si) that it still manages to Quand slightly disturbing.